城区建筑能耗影响因素及预测模型研究
关键词 建筑能耗 预测模型 建筑特点 节能意识
毕业论文设计说明书外文摘要
Title Urban residential building energy consumption influencing factors and prediction model
Abstract
With economy rapidly growing, China has become an export power but also an energy-consuming giant. Building energy accounts for a very big portion in the energy consumption pattern. As people live a better life, they become more and more critical to their living environment. Therefore, to start a research on factors that influence building energy consumption and to build a building energy consumption model turn out to be urgent. The article first summarizes the research tools regarding building energy consumption model, both at home and abroad. The reference data range over about twenty factors influencing building energy consumption. Then we figure out the basic linear relationship between the factors and annual energy consumption based on data. And the seven factors that affect building energy consumption most are cooling mechanisms of summer equipment. Then by partial correlative analysis we filter out our four independent variances. With these four, we build a linear regression model based on correlative analysis. And after plugging in the predicted variance, a result we get turns out to accords well with the real situation. Combining our theory with the real case of city, we finally come up with a solution to lower building energy consumption and to encourage our citizens to together build an eco-friendly city.
Keywords Building energy consumption prediction model Influence factor solution
目 次
1绪论 1
1.1研究背景及意义 1
1.2国内外研究现状 2
1.3 本文主要研究内容 3
2 研究方法和技术路线 5
2.1 研究方法与路线 5
2.2 本章小结 7
3建筑能耗研究方法与原理 9
3.1相关性分析和偏相关性概念 9
3.2 城市建筑能耗相关性分析 10
3.3 城市建筑偏相关性 19
3.4本章小结 23
4 居住建筑能耗建模与分析 24
4.1最小二乘法模型 24
4.2 对城市居住建筑能耗模型建立 26
4.2.1 建模过程与分析 26
4.3居民建筑能耗模型预测 28
4.4 本章小结 29
5 城市居民建筑能耗节能规划与措施 30
5.1建立合理科学的建筑节能政策 30
5.2 本章小结 31